Multi-Asset Focus  

Three scenarios where it pays to be dynamic

Our flexible and dynamic process aims to adapt to different environments rather than assuming that a static allocation will bail us out. We try to look at ways that the portfolio would have behaved in an historic ‘stress’ scenario. This might be scenarios such as the credit crisis, or the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, a recession, or the 2013 ‘taper tantrum’. We would also look at hypothetical scenarios such as a hard Brexit.

For each of these scenarios, we look at the main risks in the portfolio. It is a good way to work out the hidden risks in our portfolios and to ensure the risks within the portfolio are there because certain markets are attractive. We look at how asset markets behaved in historical periods when inflation rose and growth was healthy. How would the portfolio have performed? We also incorporate protection strategies, depending on the implied volatility in the market and how expensive it is to achieve this protection.

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To view an infographic on the First State Diversified Growth Fund investment process click here.

In this way, by being flexible and dynamic we adapt our portfolio to the prevailing market environment. We want to make sure that we only take risk where it is worth taking. In today’s climate, many asset classes are expensive, and investors are poorly compensated. As such, it is time to look beyond beta to non-directional strategies to defend returns.

By Andrew Harman, Portfolio Manager, First State Investments Diversified Growth Fund.

To see the top ten questions we get asked about the First State Diversified Growth Fund click here

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